Isolating AI contribution is the hard part. Here’s how to approach it:
Method 1: Correlation timing
AI citation changes happen at specific times. Look for branded search responses that follow AI changes specifically.
Example:
- Week 1: AI citations jump from 20% to 40%
- Week 3-5: Branded search increases 15%
- Week 6: You run a TV campaign
- Week 8: Branded search increases another 20%
The first lift correlates to AI, the second to TV. Timing matters.
Method 2: Holdout analysis
If you have geographic targeting capability:
- Keep AI optimization on in some regions
- Pause in others temporarily
- Compare branded search between regions
Method 3: Statistical modeling
Include AI citation frequency as a variable in your marketing mix model alongside:
- Paid spend by channel
- PR coverage
- Organic search performance
The model attributes lift to each variable.
Practical approach: For most brands, correlation analysis with timing consideration is enough to demonstrate directional relationship. Perfect attribution isn’t necessary to prove AI matters.