What's the actual growth rate of AI search? Need data for budget conversations
Community discussion on AI search growth statistics and trends. Marketing professionals share data points, projections, and how to use growth metrics for budget...
Having a debate with our board about AI search investment.
Their position:
My concern:
What I need:
Help me build a compelling business case.
Let me give you the data to make your case.
The scale of change:
| Metric | Current State | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Consumers using AI for recommendations | 58% | Growing |
| Expected organic traffic decline | - | 50% by 2028 (Gartner) |
| AI referral traffic for some brands | 10% of new sign-ups | Increasing |
| AI citations from brand-controlled sources | 86% | Stable |
The visibility math:
In traditional search, even if you’re not #1, you’re visible on the page. Users see your title, description, competitor comparisons.
In AI search, if you’re not cited, you don’t exist. Users get a synthesized answer from competitors without ever knowing you exist.
The compounding problem:
Every month you ignore AI search:
The opportunity cost formula:
Relevant queries × AI user percentage × Competitor citation rate × Your conversion value = Lost opportunity per month
Example:
1,000 monthly relevant queries × 58% AI users × 80% competitor citation (20% yours) × $50 average value = $23,200 monthly opportunity cost
Scale that up for your actual numbers.
That’s exactly the problem - and part of your argument.
The blind spot:
Right now, you don’t know:
This is the first opportunity cost:
You’re making marketing decisions without understanding a channel that 58% of consumers use.
The quick audit:
Do this right now:
Document:
This 10-minute exercise:
Will likely reveal gaps you didn’t know existed. That’s what you present to the board.
Then the investment ask:
“We discovered we’re invisible/misrepresented in AI search. Here’s what we need to fix it.”
I just went through this board conversation. Here’s what worked.
The wake-up call:
I asked ChatGPT: “What are the best [our category] tools?”
Our main competitor was #1. We weren’t mentioned at all.
The follow-up:
I asked why our tool wasn’t included. ChatGPT said it wasn’t aware of us having strong presence in that category.
That screenshot won the argument.
The business impact I presented:
Even conservative conversion:
At 1% conversion, 0.5% close rate, $10K ACV:
5,800 × 1% × 0.5% × $10,000 = $2,900 monthly lost revenue
That’s $35K/year from just one query category.
The investment comparison:
Am I Cited costs less per month than that ONE query’s opportunity cost.
The first-mover advantage argument.
Why waiting costs more:
Current state (early 2026):
Future state (2027-2028):
The SEO parallel:
Remember when companies said “we’ll get to SEO eventually”? By the time they did, competitors had years of authority.
AI search is following the same pattern, faster.
The compounding advantage:
Brands investing now:
By the time your board is “convinced,” competitors have:
The risk of waiting isn’t neutral - it’s actively costly.
Let me share our actual data.
Our monitoring results (6 months):
Started using Am I Cited in July 2025.
Month 1:
We were getting crushed.
Month 6 (after GEO investment):
The revenue correlation:
We can’t prove causation, but:
What we would have lost:
If we’d waited 6 more months:
The board presentation that worked:
“We’re invisible where 58% of consumers search. Here’s the competitor gap. Here’s the cost. Here’s the investment needed. Here’s the timeline to parity.”
Clear, data-driven, actionable.
The resource misallocation angle.
The hidden cost:
You’re probably already spending on content that doesn’t work for AI search.
Without monitoring, you don’t know:
Example:
We were publishing 20 blog posts/month. After monitoring:
The reallocation:
We didn’t increase budget. We redirected:
The opportunity cost of NOT monitoring:
Wasting content budget on things that don’t drive AI visibility.
The investment case:
“We’re probably misallocating $X on content that doesn’t work for AI. Monitoring costs $Y. Net savings potential: $X-$Y.”
The reputation blind spot cost.
What you might not know:
AI systems are already talking about your brand. Are they accurate?
Our discovery:
ChatGPT was describing us as “a budget alternative to [competitor]” when we’re actually premium-positioned.
The cost of that misrepresentation:
We only found out because we monitored.
Another company’s story:
AI was mentioning a product recall from 5 years ago prominently. They’d resolved it, but AI kept surfacing it.
The reputation opportunity cost:
Every incorrect/negative AI response shapes perception for 58% of searchers - and you don’t know it’s happening.
The argument:
“We need to know how AI represents our brand. Currently, we have zero visibility into this.”
The competitive intelligence angle.
What monitoring reveals:
Not just your visibility, but competitors':
The strategic value:
If your competitor is investing in AI visibility and you’re not, you only find out when:
By then, you’re playing catch-up.
The early warning system:
Monitoring gives you visibility into competitor strategy before results show up in your pipeline.
The board argument:
“AI visibility is a leading indicator. By the time it shows in lagging metrics (revenue, market share), we’ve lost ground we can’t easily recover.”
CFO perspective on the investment case.
What I want to see:
The framing that works:
Don’t say: “AI search is important, we need to invest.”
Do say: “We’re losing $X monthly in missed visibility. Competitors Y and Z are investing. Investment of $A will give us visibility in B months. Cost of waiting is $C.”
The risk framing:
Marketing tends to focus on opportunity. Finance responds to risk.
“If we wait 12 months, the cost to catch up increases by X. We’re choosing a more expensive path by delaying.”
The monitoring investment:
Is cheap compared to the cost of:
Easy to approve at most budget levels.
I’ve helped 20+ companies make this case. The patterns.
Arguments that DON’T work:
Arguments that DO work:
The minimum ask:
Don’t ask for full GEO transformation. Ask for monitoring.
“Let’s spend $200/month to understand our current position. Then we can make data-driven decisions.”
That’s an easy yes.
Once you have data, the bigger investment case makes itself.
This is exactly what I needed.
My board presentation will include:
My ask structure:
Phase 1 (immediate):
Phase 2 (based on data):
The key insight:
Starting with monitoring is low-risk, data-driven, and builds the case for larger investment.
Thanks for helping me build a compelling argument!
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